Estimated reading time: 3 minutes
The bearish trend is present in AUD/USD currency pair, 15 minutes time frame based on AUD/USD Elliott Wave Forecast. As I have forecasted few hours ago, the price of AUD/USD pair is going to drop now on a short-term basis to prints a Bearish Impulse wave Elliott pattern and traders should look for a sell trade. So, all those Forex traders who have followed my analysis have made the right decision as price has descended.
Strong key resistance level is present at 0.7606 price area which is the originating point of bearish wave 1 leg. In my judgment, price action in AUD/USD currency pair is now going to drop more to print a Bearish Impulse wave 3 leg as bullish corrective wave 2 looks complete. So, market is going to remain bearish to complete the Bearish Impulse Elliott wave pattern which looks in-complete. Based on Elliott wave analysis, the current bearish price action is part of a bearish wave 5 impulse wave leg in higher degree Elliott wave pattern.
Currently, Bearish Impulse Elliott wave 3 leg looks in-complete. So, a good idea is to look for a possible sell trading chance to join the down trend around 0.7570 price area. However; if the price of AUD/USD currency pair breaks above 0.7606 vital resistance level then down trend is going to end. In such a market scenario, it would be best not to trade the Forex market and re-do the AUD/USD Elliott wave analysis in fifteen minutes chart.
Now, at this point; I must acknowledge that the trend is also bearish in higher time frame of AUD/USD currency pair.
Below is the 4 hours chart of AUD/USD pair with my Elliott wave analysis which shows us a big picture and a well started bearish trend as well.
To me; price is trying to complete the Bearish Impulse Elliott wave pattern. The bearish wave 5 leg is the last and final decline as price is going to prints a bottom after that. Within the Bearish Impulse wave pattern, all sub-waves must sub-divides into 5, 3, 5, 3 and 5 waves Elliott pattern.
The following Elliott Wave Bearish Impulse pattern diagram shows us a completed Bearish Impulse wave leg within the frame work of Elliott wave principle.
Based on my AUD/USD Elliott Wave Forecast in 4 hours chart, we have got an in-complete Bearish Impulse wave 5. Now, price is probably going to falls more lower to complete the bearish wave 5 leg. To me; in fifteen minutes chart of AUD/USD currency pair the bullish leg in price action is just a pull back in a down trend as mentioned above as Bullish Expanded Flat leg inside a 15 minutes price chart.
Strong key resistance level is present at 0.7729 in AUD/USD four hours chart. So, I expect market to falls down more now to complete the bearish wave 5 leg. So, in my opinion market is going to remain sideways and then resume the down trend in AUD/USD currency pair, in 4 hours chart.
However; price should stays below 0.7729 resistance area in 4 hours time frame to keep the down trend alive. A clear bullish break out in price action above 0.7729 resistance area will end the down trend and in such a market scenario, it would be best not to trade the market and re-analyze AUD/USD 4 hours chart.
Based on AUD/USD Elliott Wave Forecast the trend is down in 4 hours chart and a good idea is to look for a sell trade around 0.7550 price area, as price is going to drop more towards 0.7500 but a clear bullish break out in price action above 0.7729 vital resistance area will end the down trend. On a short term basis, it is again a bearish trend in AUD/USD 15 minutes time frame and a good idea is to take a sell trade around 0.7570 price level and price is probably going to drop towards 0.7525 price level. However; if the price of AUD/USD currency pair breaks above 0.7606 vital resistance level then bearish trend is going to end. Forex traders who don’t have a broker yet or wish to go with a broker that works well then click here.
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