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Based on technical analysis the bearish trend is present in AUD/USD currency pair, 4 hours time frame based on AUD/USD Elliott Wave Weekly Forecast. As I have forecasted few hours ago, the price of AUD/USD pair is going to drop now to prints a Bearish Impulse Elliott wave pattern and traders should look for a sell trade. So, all those Forex traders who have followed my Elliott wave analysis have made the right decision as price has descended.
Strong key resistance level is present at 0.7193 price area which is the termination point of Bearish impulse wave i leg. In my judgment, price action in AUD/USD currency pair is now going to drop more. So, market is going to remain bearish on a short term basis. Next, expects a short term bottom in price action as well. Based on Elliott wave forecast, the current Bearish trend is part of a Bearish corrective Elliott Wave pattern, wave 2 leg in higher time frame.
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Currently, Bearish impulse wave iii Elliott wave pattern looks complete. So, a good idea is to look for a possible bullish corrective leg wave iv which offers a sell trading chance to join the down trend around 0.7118 price area. However; if the price of AUD/USD currency pair breaks above 0.7193 vital resistance level then down trend is going to end. In such a market scenario, it would be best not to trade the Forex market and re-do the AUD/USD Elliott wave analysis in four hours chart.
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Now, at this point; I must acknowledge that the trend is Bullish in higher time frame of AUD/USD currency pair.
Below is the daily chart of AUD/USD pair with my Elliott wave forecast which shows us a big picture and a well started Bullish trend as well.
To me; price is printing Bullish impulse wave 3 leg. Now, price action is rising up to complete the Bullish Impulse wave 3 pattern. So, now market is moving up on a long term basis to complete the Bullish impulse wave 3 leg. The Bullish impulse wave 3 leg is not the last and final rise and price is going to print more up and down legs. Next, price action is going to prints a short term top after that. Within the Bullish Impulse Elliott wave pattern, all sub-waves must sub-divides into 5, 3, 5 3 and 5 waves pattern.
The following Elliott Wave Bullish Impulse pattern diagram shows us a completed Bullish Impulse Wave pattern within the frame work of Elliott wave principle.
The Bullish Impulse Wave pattern of the Elliott wave principle shows that how price action does not moves in a straight line fashion but in a series of higher swing highs and higher swing lows. Bullish Impulse Elliott wave pattern in an up trending market could be seen inside the above image. The figure shows what a Bullish Impulse Elliott wave pattern looks like. If a trader knows what a Bullish Impulse Wave pattern looks like, then it would become much easy for a currency trader to actually analyze the Forex charts, after analysis he could makes a trading decision as well.
A Bullish Impulse Wave consists of total five waves. Three Bullish leg in the favour of up trend and two bearish corrective Elliott wave patterns, against the up market trend. We use numbers to label impulse waves 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 and inside wave 2 and 4, we use English alphabets to label corrective wave structures. Please take a note that Bullish Impulse Wave pattern is a motive Elliott wave pattern which appears at a trending market environment and moves in the favour of larger up market trend.
Based on my AUD/USD technical analysis using Elliott Wave in daily chart, we have got an almost complete Bullish corrective wave 3 leg and price action is still moving up to completes the Bullish wave 3 impulse leg. However; it is possible if price breaks below green colour support line then forecast will become in-valid. Now, price action is probably going to move sideways and then rise up more to prints a Bullish impulse wave 3 leg. To me; in four hours chart of AUD/USD currency pair the bearish leg – wave ii corrective Bearish Zig Zag pattern which is part of a higher degree wave 3 Bullish leg in daily chart is just a bearish pull back on a smaller degree in an up trend as mentioned above as wave 3 Bullish Impulse wave pattern inside a daily price chart.
Strong key support level is present at 0.6764 price area in AUD/USD daily chart. So, I expect market to first move sideways for next coming trading days and then may be starts the rise. So, in my opinion market is going to remain Bullish overall and on a medium to long term basis, expects a Bullish leg in market. Next, market is probably going to resume the up trend after that in AUD/USD currency pair, in daily chart.
Now, when an existing Bullish Elliott Wave Weekly Forecast in AUD/USD is going to fail?
Well, the forecast is good for about next two weeks time and price should stays above 0.6764 support area in daily time frame to keep the up trend alive. A clear bearish break down in price action below 0.6764 support area will end the up trend and Bullish Elliott Wave Weekly Forecast; in such a market scenario, it would be best not to trade the market and re-analyze AUD/USD daily chart.
Based on AUD/USD Elliott wave Weekly Forecast the trend is up in daily chart and a good idea is to look for a buy trade around 0.7100 price area, as price is going to rise up more towards 0.7415 but a clear bearish break down in price action below 0.6764 vital support area will end the up trend. On a medium term basis, it is a Bullish trend in AUD/USD 4 hours time frame and a good idea is to take a sell trade around 0.7118 price level and price is probably going to drop more towards 0.7030 price level. However; if the price of AUD/USD currency pair breaks above 0.7193 vital resistance level then Bearish trend is going to end. We recommend trading with these top-rated brokers when using our signals/analyses/forecasts as they handle your trades quicker and more efficiently with very low spreads and most of them have high trade execution rate.
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