Based on technical analysis the bearish trend is present in EUR/USD currency pair, 4 hours time frame based on EUR/USD Elliott Wave Long Term Forecast. As I have forecasted few hours ago, the price of EUR/USD pair is going to drop now to prints a Bearish impulse Elliott wave pattern and traders should look for a sell trade. So, all those Forex traders who have followed my Elliott wave forecast have made the right decision as price has descended.
Strong key resistance level is present at 1.1619 price area. In my judgment, price action in EUR/USD currency pair is now to going to rise up first to complete a bullish Zig Zag corrective leg and then starts the decline as the trend is bearish in 4 hours chart. So, market is going to remain bearish overall on a medium term basis. Based on Elliott wave forecast, the current Bearish trend is part of a Bearish Impulse Elliott Wave pattern, wave (C) leg which is going to complete corrective wave Zig Zag wave 2 leg in higher time frame.
Currently, Bearish impulse Elliott wave pattern wave iii looks in-complete. So, a good idea is to look for a possible sell trading chance to join the down trend around 1.1580 price area. However; if the price of EUR/USD currency pair breaks above 1.1619, vital resistance level then down trend is going to end. In such a market scenario, it would be best not to trade the Forex market and re-do the EUR/USD Elliott wave analysis in four hours chart.
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Now, at this point; I must acknowledge that the trend is also bearish in higher time frame of EUR/USD currency pair.
Below is the daily chart of EUR/USD pair with my Elliott wave forecast which shows us a big picture and a well started bearish trend as well.
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To me; price has printed Bullish corrective wave (B) leg. Now, price action is falling down to complete the Bearish impulse wave (C) leg which is going to complete corrective Bearish Zig Zag pattern. So, now market is moving down on a medium term basis to complete the Bearish corrective wave (C) leg which is part of an overall corrective Bearish Zig Zag at wave 2 location. After that expects a bottom in price action as well. Wave (C) leg is the last and final decline and price is going to prints a long term bottom after that. Within the Bullish Zig Zag corrective Elliott wave pattern, all sub-waves must sub-divides into 5, 3 and 5 waves pattern.
The following Elliott Wave Bearish Zig Zag corrective pattern diagram shows us a completed Bearish Zig Zag pattern within the frame work of Elliott wave principle.
The bearish Zig Zag wave pattern of the Elliott wave principle shows that how price action does not moves in a straight line fashion but in a series of lows (retracements) and highs (rises). Bearish Zig Zag Elliott wave pattern in a down trending market could be seen inside the above image. The figure shows what a Bearish Zig Zag Elliott wave pattern looks like. If a trader knows what a bearish Zig Zag pattern looks like, then it would become much easy for a currency trader to actually analyze the Forex charts and make a trading decision as well.
A Bearish Zig Zag consists of two Impulse Elliott wave patterns, joined by a B wave. We use A English alphabet to label first impulse Zig Zag wave leg and we use C English alphabet to label second Impulse Zig Zag wave leg. Please take a note that Bearish Zig Zag pattern is a corrective Elliott wave pattern which appears at a pull back in a main down market trend.
Based on my EUR/USD technical analysis using Elliott Wave in daily chart, we have got an in-complete Bearish Zig Zag leg and price action is now falling down to prints bearish wave (C) leg. However; it is possible if price breaks above blue colour resistance line then forecast will become in-valid. Now, price action is probably going to move sideways and then drop lower to prints a Bearish impulse wave (C) leg. To me; in four hours chart of EUR/USD currency pair the bullish leg – Bullish Zig Zag corrective wave pattern wave ii which is part of a higher degree wave (C) in daily chart is just a bullish pull back in a down trend leg as mentioned above as wave ii Bullish Zig Zag corrective pattern inside a hours chart.
Strong key resistance level is present at 1.1813 price area in EUR/USD daily chart. So, I expect market to first move up for next coming trading days and then may be starts the decline. So, in my opinion market is going to remain bearish overall and on a medium to long term basis, expects a sideways leg in market. Next, market is probably going to resume the down trend after that in EUR/USD currency pair, in daily chart.
Now, when an existing Bearish Elliott Wave Long Term Forecast in EUR/USD is going to fail?
Well, the forecast is good for about next two weeks time and price should stays below 1.1813 resistance area in daily time frame to keep the down trend alive. A clear bullish break out in price action above 1.1813 resistance area will end the down trend and bearish Elliott Wave Long Term Forecast; in such a market scenario, it would be best not to trade the market and re-analyze EUR/USD daily chart.
Based on EUR/USD Elliott Wave Long Term Forecast the trend is down in daily chart and a good idea is to look for a sell trade around 1.1405 price area, as price is going to drop more towards 1.1185 but a clear bullish break out in price action above 1.1813 vital resistance area will end the down trend. On a medium term basis, it is a bearish trend in EUR/USD 4 hours time frame and a good idea is to take a sell trade around 1.1580 price level and price is probably going to drop lower towards 1.1200 price level. However; if the price of EUR/USD currency pair breaks above 1.1619 vital resistance level then bearish trend is going to end. However; if the price of EUR/USD breaks above 1.1427 vital resistance level then down trend is going to end. We recommend trading with these top-rated brokers when using our signals/analyses/forecasts as they handle your trades quicker and more efficiently with very low spreads and most of them have high trade execution rate.
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