Based on technical analysis the bearish trend is present in NZD/USD currency pair, 4 hours time frame based on NZD/USD Elliott Wave Weekly Forecast. As I have forecasted few hours ago, the price of NZD/USD pair is going to drop now to prints a Bearish Impulse Elliott wave pattern and traders should look for a sell trade. So, all those Forex traders who have followed my Elliott wave forecast have made the right decision as price has descended.
Strong key resistance level is present at 0.6591 price area which is the termination point of Bearish impulse wave i leg. In my judgment, price action in NZD/USD currency pair is now to going to drop more to complete a bearish impulse wave iii leg. Next, expects a short term bottom in price action as well. So, market is going to remain bearish on a short term basis. Based on Elliott wave forecast, the current Bearish trend is part of a Bullish Impulse Elliott Wave pattern, wave 3 leg in higher time frame.
Currently, Bearish impulse Elliott wave pattern wave v looks in-complete. So, a good idea is to look for a possible sell trading chance to join the down trend around 0.6506 price area. However; if the price of NZD/USD currency pair breaks above 0.6591 vital resistance level then down trend is going to end. In such a market scenario, it would be best not to trade the Forex market and re-do the NZD/USD Elliott wave analysis in four hours chart.
Now, at this point; I must acknowledge that the trend is bullish in higher time frame of NZD/USD currency pair.
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Below is the daily chart of NZD/USD pair with my Elliott wave forecast which shows us a big picture and a well started bullish trend as well.
To me; price has printed Bearish corrective wave 2 leg. Now, price action is rising up to complete the Bullish impulse wave 3 pattern. So, now market is moving up on a long term basis to complete the bullish impulse wave 3 leg. The bullish impulse wave 3 leg is not the last and final rise as price is going to prints a long term top after that and then move up further. Within the Bullish Impulse wave Elliott pattern, all sub-waves must sub-divides into 5, 3, 5,3 and 5 waves pattern.
The following Elliott Wave Bullish Impulse wave pattern diagram shows us a completed Bullish Impulse wave pattern within the frame work of Elliott wave principle.
The Bullish Impulse Wave pattern of the Elliott wave principle shows that how price action does not moves in a straight line fashion but in a series of higher swing highs and higher swing lows. Bullish Impulse Elliott wave pattern in an up trending market could be seen inside the above image. The figure shows what a Bullish Impulse Elliott wave pattern looks like. If a trader knows what a Bullish Impulse Wave pattern looks like, then it would become much easy for a currency trader to actually analyze the Forex charts and make a trading decision as well.
A Bullish Impulse wave consists of total five waves. Three bullish leg in the favour of an up trend and two bearish corrective Elliott wave patterns, against the upward market trend. We use numbers to label impulse wave 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 and inside wave 2 and 4, we use English alphabets to label corrective wave structures. Please take a note that Bullish Impulse Wave pattern is a motive Elliott wave pattern which appears at a trending market environment and moves in the favour of larger upward market trend.
Based on my NZD/USD technical analysis using Elliott Wave Forecast in daily chart, we have got a completed Bearish corrective wave 2 leg and price action is now rising up to prints Bullish impulse wave 3 leg. However; it is possible if price breaks below green colour support line then forecast will become in-valid. Now, price action is probably going to move sideways and then rise up more to prints a bullish impulse wave 3 leg which is going to complete Bullish Impulse wave pattern. To me; in four hours chart of NZD/USD currency pair the bearish leg – corrective wave ii pattern which is part of a higher degree wave 3 leg in daily chart is just a bearish pull back in an up trend leg as mentioned above as wave 3 Impulse wave pattern inside a daily price chart.
Strong key support level is present at 0.6423 price area in NZD/USD daily chart. So, I expect market to first move sideways for next coming trading days and then may be starts the rise. So, in my opinion market is going to remain bullish overall and on a medium to long term basis, expects a bullish leg in market. Next, market is probably going to resume the up trend after that in NZD/USD currency pair, in daily chart.
Now, when an existing Bullish Elliott Wave Weekly Forecast in NZD/USD is going to fail?
Well, the weekly forecast is good for about next two weeks time and price should stays above 0.6423 support area in daily time frame to keep the up trend alive. A clear bearish break down in price action below 0.6423 daily chart support area will end the up trend and bullish Elliott Wave weekly analysis; in such a market scenario, it would be best not to trade the market and re-analyze NZD/USD daily chart.
Based on NZD/USD Elliott Wave Weekly Forecast the trend is up in daily chart and a good idea is to look for a buy trade around 0.6680 price area, as price is going to rise more towards 0.7595 price area but a clear bearish break down in price action below 0.6423 vital support area will end the up trend. On a medium term basis, it is a bearish trend in NZD/USD 4 hours time frame and a good idea is to take a sell trade around 0.6506 price level and price is probably going to drop more towards 0.6401 price level. However; if the price of NZD/USD currency pair breaks above 0.6591 vital resistance level then bearish trend is going to end. We recommend trading with these top-rated brokers when using our signals/analyses/forecasts as they handle your trades quicker and more efficiently with very low spreads and most of them have high trade execution rate.
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